Election 2024 Prediction Lichtman. Historian allan lichtman has accurately predicted the outcome of 9 out of the last 10 presidential elections, and he's done it without the use of polling data. Lichtman was among the few to accurately predict mr.

In 2024, lichtman said at least eight of the keys favor harris. “authorities in the field recognized my nearly unique successful prediction of a trump victory,” lichtman told me in an email.